anas zubedy
Followers
Sunday, March 8, 2026
GE16: LET’S PREPARE EARLY
Saturday, March 7, 2026
10 LESSONS FROM THE US–ISRAEL ATTACK ON IRAN (So Far)
1.
Widespread ignorance about Iran
The West,
and many people around the world including my fellow Malaysians, know very
little about Iran’s internal politics, governance structure and political
culture. For decades the West has repeated a simple narrative about Iran. Over
time, many have begun to believe their own propaganda.
Those who
accept these narratives without question often do so because they already carry
biases about what they imagine a theocratic Islamic nation must look like.
This
conflict has exposed how shallow that understanding really is.
2. The
limits of relying on US protection
This
episode raises an uncomfortable question for countries hosting US bases or
aligning closely with US military strategy.
In
moments of real crisis, the United States cannot always defend its allies. Nor
is it always willing to do so at the level those allies expect.
Some
Middle Eastern partners are beginning to realise that their interests do not
carry the same weight. Many feel treated like secondary players, while
Washington’s full strategic attention remains focused on Israel.
This
could reshape how countries view US bases, not just in the Middle East but also
in the Far East. The Philippines, for example, may one day have to reassess its
growing military cooperation with Washington.
3. Iran’s
system is more resilient than portrayed
For
decades Iran has been portrayed as a fragile authoritarian system dependent on
a single leader.
Reality
appears more complex.
Iran
operates through layered institutions: constitutional structures, clerical
networks, elected offices and powerful military command systems. This
architecture allows the state to absorb shocks far better than many outside
observers assumed.
4. Israel
appears more cunning while America carries the cost
Israel
initiated the confrontation. Trump and Netanyahu announced the attack together.
Yet today
the global political heat is directed mainly at Trump and the United States.
Israel
appears to have played this more shrewdly. The diplomatic and reputational cost
is largely borne by Washington, while Netanyahu remains relatively shielded.
In simple
terms, Israel looks cunning. America looks like it has been drawn into carrying
the blame.
5. Iran
appears well prepared
Iran
seems to have prepared carefully for this conflict.
Its
responses so far appear calculated and deliberate, almost like following a
strategic playbook.
Iran has
also shown restraint. Despite having the capability to target major US assets
such as aircraft carriers in the region, it has avoided doing so.
That
restraint likely reflects a strategic decision not to push the entire American
public and military establishment fully into the war.
But if
heavier American weapons are used, escalation may follow.
6. Trump
abandoned his own negotiating principles
Ironically,
Trump contradicts many principles he himself wrote about in The Art of the
Deal.
The book
emphasises preparation, doing your homework, understanding the opponent,
building leverage and securing alliances before making a move.
Most
importantly, every negotiation must have a clear endgame.
In this
case there appeared to be no clear objective from the start. Instead, new goals
seem to be invented along the way.
7. China
and Russia are likely watching closely
There are
growing perceptions that China and Russia are quietly assisting Iran behind the
scenes.
China in
particular is likely studying this conflict very carefully.
For
Chinese strategists, this war is a real-world laboratory to observe how
American military systems perform under actual combat conditions.
Some
observers even believe Chinese experts may be working alongside Iranian
specialists to assist and learn at the same time.
8. India
may be drifting into a Zionist trap
India may
be bending too far toward Israel instead of playing the nuanced and
statesmanlike role it historically held.
Prime
Minister Modi recently described Israel as the “father” and India as the
“mother”.
As
support for the idea of “Greater Israel” becomes more controversial and
questioned even inside the United States, Israel may begin looking for another
major power to anchor its political support.
India
could become that partner.
Some
observers even speculate that lobbying structures similar to the powerful
American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) could one day emerge in India.
An Indian version, perhaps called “IIPAC”, could attempt to shape policy
debates and influence Indian politics in similar ways.
9. The
biggest winner may be China
The
biggest long-term winner of this conflict may not be the United States, Israel
or even Iran.
It may be
China.
From
Beijing’s perspective, this war provides a live laboratory to study American
military capabilities, logistics and limits.
China may
conclude that the United States is not as dominant as previously assumed.
If Iran
can produce thousands of drones and sustain prolonged confrontation, China’s
industrial capacity could scale that capability dramatically.
For
Chinese strategists, this conflict may simply be a rehearsal for the future.
It will
also be interesting to see how China evaluates its options regarding Taiwan
reunification.
10.
Malaysians are still trapped in race and religious political lenses
Many
Malaysians still cannot break free from our race and religious political
mindset. Too many people choose sides not based on what is right or wrong, but
based on their own internal biases.
There are
those who celebrate the death of Khamenei simply because he promoted the hijab
and traditional Islamic values, which they see as oppressive to women. Yet they
fail to consider that a more US-friendly leadership could easily resemble the
same elite class associated with scandals like Epstein, where power and
privilege protect those who exploit young girls. The experience of the Shah of
Iran and the Western-backed elite of that era seems to have been forgotten.
On the
other side, there are those who support Iran simply because it is a Muslim
country. Yet some Muslims hesitate to support Iran because it is Shia while
Malaysians are largely Sunni.
Both
reactions miss the bigger picture.
This war
is not fundamentally about Sunni or Shia. It is not about headgear or religious
rituals. At its core, it is about the geopolitical project of Greater Israel,
and Iran has been one of the major obstacles standing in its way.
Peace,
anas
Thursday, March 5, 2026
THE SINDHU CONNECTION: How Iran Shaped the Words India and Hind
India under Modi has been silent about the
US–Israel attack to date. Ironically, the very name India, along with Hind,
Hindu, and Hindi, carries a linguistic link to ancient Persia
(today’s Iran).
The Sanskrit word Sindhu (Indus River) became Hindu/Hind in Persian because Persians pronounced the “s”
as “h.” The Greeks later turned it into Indos,
which eventually became India.
Historically, there was also no single religion called “Hinduism.” The
term Hindu was originally a geographical label for people living
beyond the Indus. Many traditions were better described as Sanatana Dharma – the eternal way.
In
other words, even the modern name “Hinduism” is linguistically linked to Persia.
Peace, anas
Note : The link Sindhu → Hind → India is a small reminder of a much deeper Persia–India civilizational connection spanning trade, culture, and ideas for over two millennia.
Monday, March 2, 2026
WHY KILLING THE AYATOLLAH WOULD BE A STRATEGIC BLUNDER
Firstly,
if leaders like Trump and Netanyahu believed that removing the Ayatollah would
cause the collapse of Iranian leadership, it would reflect a serious
misunderstanding of Iran’s political structure.
The
Ayatollah is not a dictator. Iran is a theocratic republic with layered
institutions, constitutional mechanisms, clerical oversight and military
command structures. Like any political system, there would be a period of
uncertainty during a transition. But the system itself would not collapse
overnight. Its political culture, institutional continuity and chain of command
would take over. We have already seen how quickly state responses can be
activated and counter offensive took place within hours of his death.
For
decades, Western narratives have often portrayed the Ayatollah as a singular
authoritarian figure. When a narrative is repeated long enough, it can begin
shaping policy assumptions. Decisions then risk being made based on caricature
rather than structural reality.
But even
that is not the deeper issue.
The
deeper miscalculation lies in failing to understand the religious and
historical dimensions of Shia identity.
The
Ayatollah, as Supreme Leader within Iran’s Shia framework, holds a position
that many followers view as more than political. His role carries spiritual
weight. In Shia theology, leadership is not merely administrative. It is
connected to the legacy of the Imams and to a long history shaped by martyrdom
and moral resistance. To help a non-Shia reader understand, his position is
sometimes likened to the Caliphate in Muslim history and spiritually to the
Pope in Catholicism.
Shia
history is profoundly shaped by the assassination of Ali ibn Abi Talib,
regarded as the first Imam, and even more decisively by the tragedy of Karbala,
where Husayn ibn Ali stood against what he viewed as unjust rule and was
killed.
Within
Shia spirituality, suffering is not seen as meaningless but can carry
redemptive meaning; standing for justice, even at personal cost, is regarded as
a sacred obligation; and martyrdom is viewed as the highest form of
faithfulness to God and truth.
If such a
leader is killed, he is not merely removed from office. He is elevated within a
spiritual narrative that has defined Shia consciousness for centuries.
There are
roughly 200 to 300 million Shia Muslims globally. A killing framed as martyrdom
does not weaken such a tradition. It can deepen solidarity and emotional
resolve. It may also resonate beyond sectarian lines, particularly among Sunni
Muslims who view defiance against global superpowers or Israel through a
political lens of resistance.
Furthermore,
stories of a leader refusing personal safety and choosing to remain alongside
his people strengthen that martyr narrative. Whether fully verified or not,
such accounts spread rapidly in today’s digital ecosystem and become powerful
symbols. Symbolism often outlives strategy.
Already,
many Muslims across different denominations are sharing the Qur’anic verse:
“And do
not say about those who are killed in the way of Allah, ‘They are dead.’
Rather, they are alive, but you perceive it not.”
Qur’an 2:154
In such a
framework, death is not defeat. It becomes transcendence.
The
Ayatollah, in that narrative, does not disappear. He becomes morally amplified.
And that amplification can carry consequences long after immediate military
calculations fade from view.
Strategic
actions taken without deep historical and theological understanding risk
producing effects far beyond their intended goals.
Peace,
Anas
Sunday, March 1, 2026
HICKORY – A Place to Read, Write, Think, Reflect
A month ago, during my birthday week, I spent
almost a week at Hickory, Penang Hill. It has been my norm for decades to
travel somewhere during my birthday. My gift to myself has always been time.
Time to read. Time to write. Time to think. Time to reflect.
When I was married for a while, my ex-wife once
asked what birthday present I wanted. I told her, “A whole day to read.” That
day, I read The Power of Habit by Charles
Duhigg from cover to cover. That was my celebration.
This year’s gift was solitude at Hickory.
Each day followed a simple rhythm. Wake up.
Breakfast. Write. Lunch. Write again. Workout. Dinner. Write again. Day in and
day out. I did not leave Hickory.
Hickory itself is a gift. A serene environment
with cool weather at about 700 metres above sea level. The staff are friendly.
The owner is calm and clearly not doing this merely for money. There is a
genuine love in the way the space is curated. It is clean. Organised.
Thoughtfully detailed. The rooms are beautifully done. The entire bungalow
feels like a heritage art piece, quietly standing in time.
They were flexible with food from the menu,
accommodating my preference to avoid pastries, chips and wedges in exchange for
more vegetables. Coffee and tea are complimentary throughout the day.
The sunrise is mesmerising. Every morning
feels fresh and purposeful. And at night, the cool air refreshes the soul. From
700 metres up, Penang truly lives up to its name as the crown jewel, its lights
glowing gently across the night sky.
I highly recommend Hickory to anyone looking
for a place to think and reflect. If you are seeking reflective energy in
silence, this is it.
God willing, I will be back again right after
Hari Raya.
Thank you, Raj, Durin and the entire team at
Hickory.
Peace, anas
Saturday, February 28, 2026
MANDELA, GANDHI AND MODI
It is no surprise that Madiba and Gandhiji
became close confidantes in heaven. They both stood for doing what is right
even when it was hard, treating every human being with dignity, and believing
that justice must apply to everyone, even those you disagree with.
So they made it a point to meet for tea every
now and then. They would sit quietly under a wide tree, cups in hand, and look
down at the earth below. From there, they could see cities glowing at night,
borders drawn and redrawn, leaders speaking, crowds marching.
Like two old friends who had once carried the
weight of nations on their shoulders, they would talk about the world they had
left behind.
Today was Gandhiji’s turn to host.
He prepared the tea the way it is done on the
streets of India where he once walked. Strong. Boiled with milk. Touched with
ginger. Poured back and forth to cool before serving. The steam rose gently
into the still air of heaven.
Madiba arrived with his familiar warm smile.
“You look serious today, my friend,” he said,
taking the cup.
Gandhiji nodded. He stirred his tea slowly,
paused for a while, then stirred it again.
“Yes, Madiba,” he replied softly. “Something
is troubling my heart.”
Madiba waited, giving Gandhiji the space to
speak when he was ready.
“It is about Modi… and where he is leading
India,” he continued.
“He speaks of Jews finding refuge in India
centuries ago. Of no history of antisemitism in Indian civilisation. Of
cultural respect between Hindus and Jews.” He paused and took a sip of the tea.
It was still too hot.
“That part is true,” he continued. “India gave
refuge. We did not persecute Jews. That is something I am proud of.”
Gandhiji looked at Madiba’s face, searching
for any reaction. Mandiba, knowing it was not yet his time to speak, simply
said, “Go on.”
“Offering refuge to a persecuted people is
noble. Supporting policies that displace another people is different,” Gandhiji
said, his voice firmer now. Madiba could feel the pain behind his words.
Madiba then asked gently, “Have you spoken
with Maulana Azad and Jawaharlal about this?”
“No. Not yet,” Gandhiji replied. “I thought I
would speak to you first. I am sure Maulana would be very unhappy.”
Madiba pressed his palms together and said,
“Let me play devil’s advocate for a moment.”
“Modi frames it as strategic partnership.
Defense cooperation. Technology. Counter-terrorism. Especially after October
7.”
He took a sip of tea before continuing.
“The world changed after October 7. Security
language now dominates.”
He looked at Gandhiji carefully.
“When you spoke of Palestine, there was no
state of Israel yet. It was before the Nakbah. But Israel exists now. That is
reality. The question is how to secure justice within that reality.”
Gandhiji looked down, sad but steady.
“I know that after me, Jawaharlal supported a
two-state solution. Yet the tone today is no longer what it was under him. Modi
now speaks much more openly in support of Israel.”
He paused.
“You know, Madiba, if I were still alive, I
would never agree to taking land away from the Palestinians. I was clear then,
and I am just as sure now. A homeland cannot be imposed through power. Empire
cannot manufacture moral legitimacy.”
Madiba gave a gentle smile.
“You were always harder on governments than I
was.”
Gandhiji laughed softly.
“I condemned violence in my time. I would
condemn the killing of civilians today, whoever commits it. But justice cannot
be selective.”
“I would drink to that,” Madiba said, lifting
his cup. They gently touched their cups together and sipped. Then they sat in
silence for a while, each lost in his own thoughts.
Madiba finally broke the silence.
“Do you think India has betrayed you?”
There was a long pause. Gandhiji took his
time.
“No nation is permanently pure,” he said
slowly. “But when the oppressed look for a moral voice and do not clearly hear
it from India… that troubles me.”
Madiba waited.
Gandhiji’s final words were calm, but heavy.
“I am not proud of the India I died for with
its current behaviour.”
Peace, anas
KE ARAH PENGUASAAN KERJA-HIDUP
